Rayo Vallecano v Cádiz
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl de Tomás | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 2 | ✓ |
| Isi Palazón | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rubén Sobrino | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Isi Palazón | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Miguel Crespo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Óscar Trejo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Maximiliano Gómez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Juanmi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Raúl de Tomás | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rubén Alcaraz | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorge de Frutos | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Crespo | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rubén Alcaraz | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 4 | ✓ |
| Unai López | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 51% | 2 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 44% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 41% | 2 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Cádiz 0–0 Rayo Vallecano Sep 2023
- Cádiz 1–0 Rayo Vallecano Feb 2023
- Rayo Vallecano 5–1 Cádiz Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.