La Liga · 24/25

Real Valladolid v Osasuna

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Valladolid2 – 3 Osasuna 20 Apr 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Ante Budimir	shots total	1+	98%	5	✓
Iván Sánchez	fouls drawn	1+	94%	2	✓
Juanmi Latasa	shots total	1+	91%	4	✓
Aimar Oroz	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Juanmi Latasa	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Mario Martín	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Pablo Ibáñez	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Mamadou Sylla	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Darwin Machís	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Lucas Torró	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Juanmi Latasa	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Pablo Ibáñez	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Mario Martín	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Darwin Machís	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	56%	2 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	51%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	46%	5 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Real Valladolid & Osasuna player stats→ Real Valladolid players & stats→ Osasuna players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works