Bet builder markets — how each one is modelled
The player and team bets SharpXI prices, and the thinking behind each. Every market page explains the model, shows the current La Liga leaders and answers the common questions.
Shots on target
Shots on target is the most-modelled player market in the {league} bet builder, and one of the most frequently mispriced. SharpXI turns four seasons o…
Total shots
Total shots (all attempts, on or off target) is a higher-volume cousin of shots on target, so the lines run 1+, 2+ and 3+. SharpXI models each line fr…
To be carded
"To be carded" is a binary market — will the player pick up a booking — and it's where the single most mispriced factor in football betting lives: the…
Fouls committed
Player fouls committed (1+, 2+) rewards knowing which players actually give away free kicks — and against whom. SharpXI models the foul rate and the o…
Fouls won
Fouls won — the free kicks a player earns — is the mirror of fouls committed. Dribblers and hold-up forwards win fouls at high rates the market often …
Team & match goals
Match totals (over/under 2.5 goals), team goals and both teams to score are modelled from expected goals (xG), not raw scorelines. SharpXI fits attack…
Team & match cards
Match card totals and team card lines are, like player cards, driven heavily by the referee. SharpXI models the booking count for each team and the ma…