Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
AB

Abiel Osorio

Forward ElcheLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Elche vs Celta Vigo›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 4 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 4 games

Compared with a La Liga forward, 25/26, 2,676 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.54 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 42.0×
1.80MGMEdge
Total shots4.63 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.2×
1.08PPEdge
Fouls won2.57 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.5×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls committed3.09 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.7×
1.33PPEdge
Tackles0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
25%
1 of 42.6×
Cards0.51 per 90
25%
1 of 42.4×
3.25bet365Edge
Goals0.51 per 90
25%
1 of 41.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 4 La Liga games, Abiel Osorio has hit 1+ shot on target in 75% (3 of 4), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 75%, 1+ foul won in 75%, and been booked in 25% (1 of 4). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 4

Recent matches

The last 4 games Abiel Osorio featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Espanyol18 Sep 29 1 2 0 1 0 0
Real Madrid15 Sep 90 1 4 3 2 0 0
@ Athletic Club12 Sep 21 0 0 2 2 0 1
Real Sociedad7 Sep 35 1 3 1 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Abiel Osorio have a shot on target?

Over the last 4 La Liga games, Abiel Osorio has hit 1+ shot on target in 75% (3 of 4). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Abiel Osorio average?

Across the last 4 La Liga games, Abiel Osorio is averaging 1.54 shots on target and 4.63 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Abiel Osorio get booked?

Abiel Osorio is averaging 0.51 cards per 90 over the last 4 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Abiel Osorio commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 4 games Abiel Osorio commits 3.09 fouls per 90 and wins 2.57 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Abiel Osorio?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Abiel Osorio plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.