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SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
GE

Germán Valera

Wing-back 67% of 30 recent starts ElcheLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Elche vs Celta Vigo›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga wing-back, 25/26, 443 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
2.75bet365Edge
Total shots0.64 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls won1.93 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.5×
1.14PPEdge
Fouls committed1.18 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
1.44PPEdge
Tackles1.07 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 8
Cards0.32 per 90
30%
3 of 102.1×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Germán Valera has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Germán Valera in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 7 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Germán ValeraElche 70.47 0.79
Juan IglesiasSevilla 70.57 0.57
Sergio CarreiraCelta Vigo 70.79 0.79
Buba SangaréElche 70.17 1.17
Ángel PérezDeportivo Alavés 71.65 0.73
Abderrahman RebbachDeportivo Alavés 70.80 1.60
These 5, combined 0.77 0.97

Recent matches

The last 10 games Germán Valera featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Espanyol18 Sep 90 1 1 1 3 3 0
Real Madrid15 Sep 58 0 1 1 0 1 0
@ Athletic Club12 Sep 82 0 0 0 2 0 0
Real Sociedad7 Sep 81 0 1 0 3 0 1
@ Real Racing Club30 Aug 90 0 0 2 1 0 0
FC Barcelona23 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Deportivo de A Coruña16 Aug 81 0 0 1 4 1 0
@ Girona FC23 May 89 0 1 3 1 1 1
Getafe17 May 90 0 2 2 2 2 0
@ Real Betis12 May 90 0 0 1 2 1 1
Officials on record
Alejandro Hernandez 4 games Germán Valera booked in 1 5.91cards/game 1.22×vs league
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 4 games Germán Valera booked in 1 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league
José Luis Munuera Montero 4 games Germán Valera never booked 4.96cards/game 1.02×vs league
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 3 games Germán Valera booked in 2 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Germán Valera have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Germán Valera has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Germán Valera average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Germán Valera is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Germán Valera get booked?

Germán Valera is averaging 0.32 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Germán Valera commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Germán Valera commits 1.18 fouls per 90 and wins 1.93 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Germán Valera?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Germán Valera plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.