Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
CA

Carl Starfelt

Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts Celta VigoLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Celta Vigo at Elche›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga centre-back, 25/26, 1,827 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
5.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.54 per 90
40%
4 of 101.2×
1.91bet365Edge
Fouls won0.64 per 90
60%
6 of 101.7×
2.00bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.86 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
1.22bet365Edge
Tackles1.71 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
4.75bet365Edge
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 103.1×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Carl Starfelt has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Carl Starfelt in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 23 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Carl StarfeltCelta Vigo 31.65 0.83
Florian LejeuneRayo Vallecano 71.86 1.14
Nahuel TenagliaDeportivo Alavés 70.92 0.92
Jon MartinReal Sociedad 60.59 1.38
Dean HuijsenReal Madrid 61.08 1.08
Adrián de la FuenteLevante UD 61.21 1.04
These 5, combined 1.17 1.10

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Carl Starfelt featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Getafe7 Sep 90 1 2 1 1 3 1
Athletic Club30 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 4 0
Osasuna27 Aug 38 0 1 1 1 1 0
@ Real Betis15 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
Real Madrid6 Mar 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Espanyol14 Feb 90 0 0 1 1 0 0
Osasuna6 Feb 90 0 1 2 1 1 0
@ Getafe1 Feb 90 0 0 2 0 0 0
@ Real Sociedad25 Jan 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
Rayo Vallecano18 Jan 83 0 0 0 1 2 0
Officials on record
César Soto Grado 7 games Carl Starfelt booked in 1 5.30cards/game 1.09×vs league
José María Sánchez Martínez 7 games Carl Starfelt never booked 5.32cards/game 1.09×vs league
Victor Garcia Verdura 5 games Carl Starfelt booked in 2 4.13cards/game 0.85×vs league
Juan Martinez Munuera 5 games Carl Starfelt booked in 1 4.85cards/game 1.00×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Carl Starfelt have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Carl Starfelt has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Carl Starfelt average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Carl Starfelt is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.54 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Carl Starfelt get booked?

Carl Starfelt is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Carl Starfelt commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Carl Starfelt commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 0.64 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Carl Starfelt?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Carl Starfelt plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.