Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
LU

Luis Rioja

Wide midfielder 70% of 30 recent starts ValenciaLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Valencia at Real Racing Club›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga wide midfielder, 25/26, 707 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.29 per 90
20%
2 of 100.7×
3.15MGMEdge
Total shots1.61 per 90
70%
7 of 101.2×
1.20bet365Edge
Fouls won0.58 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
1.18bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.58 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.73bet365Edge
Tackles1.02 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.29 per 90
20%
2 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Luis Rioja has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Luis Rioja in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 7 wide midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Luis RiojaValencia 42.20 0.00
Ademola LookmanAtlético Madrid 71.96 1.37
Joaquín MuñozMálaga CF 81.00 1.00
Federico ValverdeReal Madrid 70.96 0.48
Alex BaenaAtlético Madrid 72.97 1.98
Giuliano SimeoneAtlético Madrid 71.71 1.33
These 5, combined 1.68 1.20

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luis Rioja featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Real Sociedad20 Sep 9 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Deportivo Alavés15 Sep 19 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Deportivo de A Coruña30 Aug 60 0 0 0 1 0 0
Real Betis16 Aug 35 0 2 0 0 0 0
FC Barcelona23 May 90 1 3 1 0 1 0
@ Real Sociedad17 May 74 0 1 0 1 1 0
Rayo Vallecano14 May 90 0 2 1 0 2 0
@ Athletic Club10 May 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
Atlético Madrid2 May 59 0 0 0 0 0 0
Girona FC25 Apr 90 0 1 2 1 3 0
Officials on record
José Luis Munuera Montero 8 games Luis Rioja booked in 1 4.96cards/game 1.02×vs league
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 8 games Luis Rioja never booked 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league
Victor Garcia Verdura 8 games Luis Rioja never booked 4.13cards/game 0.85×vs league
Jesus Gil Manzano 7 games Luis Rioja booked in 1 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Luis Rioja have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Luis Rioja has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luis Rioja average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Luis Rioja is averaging 0.29 shots on target and 1.61 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luis Rioja get booked?

Luis Rioja is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luis Rioja commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Luis Rioja commits 0.58 fouls per 90 and wins 0.58 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luis Rioja?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luis Rioja plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.