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La Liga 26/27
MA

Marc Aguado

Central midfielder 93% of 30 recent starts ElcheLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Elche vs Celta Vigo›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 39 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga central midfielder, 25/26, 2,700 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
9.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
4.00bet365Edge
Fouls won0.48 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.53PPEdge
Fouls committed1.44 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.4×
1.44PPEdge
Tackles0.84 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 8
Cards0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
3.25bet365Edge
Goals0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.9×
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Marc Aguado has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Marc Aguado in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 29 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Marc AguadoElche 40.35 1.75
Urko GonzálezEspanyol 80.19 1.71
Mario SorianoDeportivo de A Coruña 71.24 0.89
Orel MangalaGetafe 70.49 1.95
Carlos SolerReal Sociedad 70.96 0.57
Pape GueyeVillarreal 71.03 0.86
These 5, combined 0.78 1.21

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marc Aguado featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Real Madrid15 Sep 58 0 0 3 0 0 1
@ Real Racing Club30 Aug 45 0 0 0 1 0 0
FC Barcelona23 Aug 64 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ Deportivo de A Coruña16 Aug 90 1 1 1 1 0 0
@ Girona FC23 May 90 0 0 2 0 2 1
Getafe17 May 84 0 0 2 0 0 0
@ Real Betis12 May 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Deportivo Alavés9 May 85 0 0 1 0 2 0
@ Celta Vigo3 May 77 1 1 1 0 1 0
@ Real Oviedo26 Apr 69 0 0 1 1 1 0
Officials on record
Alejandro Hernandez 3 games Marc Aguado booked in 2 5.91cards/game 1.22×vs league
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 3 games Marc Aguado never booked 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league
José Luis Munuera Montero 3 games Marc Aguado never booked 4.96cards/game 1.02×vs league
Miguel Sesma Espinosa 3 games Marc Aguado never booked 3.79cards/game 0.78×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Marc Aguado have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Marc Aguado has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Marc Aguado average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Marc Aguado is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 0.24 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marc Aguado get booked?

Marc Aguado is averaging 0.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marc Aguado commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Marc Aguado commits 1.44 fouls per 90 and wins 0.48 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marc Aguado?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marc Aguado plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.