Mariano Díaz
Striker 100% of 9 recent starts Deportivo AlavésLa Liga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Mariano Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Mariano Díaz in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 13 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariano DíazDeportivo Alavés | 7 | 2.51 | 1.11 |
| Fernando NiñoElche | 7 | 2.11 | 0.77 |
| Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano | 7 | 3.64 | 1.53 |
| Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad | 7 | 2.07 | 0.75 |
| Enes ÜnalGetafe | 7 | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| ChupeteMálaga CF | 8 | 2.21 | 1.52 |
| These 5, combined | 2.31 | 1.27 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mariano Díaz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Athletic Club19 Sep | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Valencia15 Sep | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Real Racing Club12 Sep | 67 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Osasuna6 Sep | 71 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Villarreal30 Aug | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Rayo Vallecano23 Aug | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Getafe16 Aug | 33 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Valencia8 Mar | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Celta Vigo22 Nov | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Girona FC8 Nov | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mariano Díaz have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Mariano Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mariano Díaz average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Mariano Díaz is averaging 2.05 shots on target and 2.50 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mariano Díaz get booked?
Mariano Díaz is averaging 0.45 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mariano Díaz commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mariano Díaz commits 1.36 fouls per 90 and wins 0.45 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mariano Díaz?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mariano Díaz plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.