Mariano Díaz
In 25/26, Mariano Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% of his 10 La Liga appearances (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, and 1+ foul won in 0%. He has been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mariano Díaz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Valencia8 Mar | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Celta Vigo22 Nov | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Girona FC8 Nov | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Mallorca27 Sep | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Getafe24 Sep | 78 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sevilla20 Sep | 19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Athletic Club13 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Atlético Madrid30 Aug | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Real Betis22 Aug | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Levante UD16 Aug | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Mariano Díaz have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Mariano Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% of his 10 La Liga appearances (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Mariano Díaz average?
Across 10 La Liga appearances in 25/26, Mariano Díaz is averaging 0.92 shots on target and 1.83 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mariano Díaz get booked?
Mariano Díaz is averaging 0.31 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mariano Díaz commit or win more fouls?
This season Mariano Díaz commits 3.97 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mariano Díaz?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mariano Díaz plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.