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SharpXI©
La Liga 23/24
SA

Samu Aghehowa

Striker 100% of 22 recent starts FC PortoLa Liga 23/24

Next match
FC Porto vs Atlético Madrid›
Sat 10 OctReferee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 35 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.21 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Total shots2.60 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
Fouls won1.56 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Fouls committed1.73 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
20%
2 of 101.8×
Cards0.35 per 90
20%
2 of 101.9×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Samu Aghehowa has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

Samu Aghehowa has no La Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 La Liga strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Samu AghehowaFC PortoUEFA Europa League 72.89 0.96
Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid 73.50 0.96
Ante BudimirOsasuna 73.23 1.79
Roberto FernándezEspanyol 82.46 1.55
Arnaut DanjumaValencia 72.57 1.03
Martín SatrianoGetafe 72.48 2.15
These 5, combined 2.83 1.49

Recent matches

The last 10 games Samu Aghehowa featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Las Palmas26 May 13 0 1 0 0 0 0
Getafe18 May 49 0 2 1 2 0 1
@ Real Madrid14 May 78 4 6 4 2 0 0
@ Valencia5 May 18 0 0 1 0 0 1
Celta Vigo27 Apr 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Granada14 Apr 64 0 0 0 1 0 0
Real Sociedad31 Mar 75 0 0 0 3 0 0
@ Athletic Club16 Mar 69 0 0 2 0 0 0
Rayo Vallecano10 Mar 71 1 3 1 1 0 0
@ Osasuna4 Mar 74 2 3 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Victor Garcia Verdura 4 games Samu Aghehowa booked in 1 4.13cards/game 0.85×vs league
Francisco Hernandez Maeso 3 games Samu Aghehowa never booked 4.26cards/game 0.88×vs league
Mateo Busquets Ferrer 3 games Samu Aghehowa never booked 5.69cards/game 1.17×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Samu Aghehowa have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Samu Aghehowa has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Samu Aghehowa average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Samu Aghehowa is averaging 1.21 shots on target and 2.60 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Samu Aghehowa get booked?

Samu Aghehowa is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Samu Aghehowa commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Samu Aghehowa commits 1.73 fouls per 90 and wins 1.56 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Samu Aghehowa?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Samu Aghehowa plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.