What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Samu Aghehowa has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Samu Aghehowa in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 8 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samu AghehowaFC Porto | 20 | 3.50 | 1.15 |
| Luis Javier SuárezSporting CP | 32 | 4.54 | 1.43 |
| Vangelis PavlidisBenfica | 33 | 3.27 | 0.51 |
| Amine El OuazzaniAngers | 13 | 2.01 | 1.13 |
| Pau VíctorSporting Braga | 32 | 1.90 | 1.23 |
| Fran NavarroSporting Braga | 29 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| These 5, combined | 2.94 | 1.14 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Samu Aghehowa featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Marítimo10 Oct | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Benfica20 Sep | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sporting CP9 Feb | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Casa Pia2 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Gil Vicente26 Jan | 77 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Vitória SC18 Jan | 72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Santa Clara4 Jan | 90 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| AVS - Futebol SAD29 Dec | 90 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Alverca22 Dec | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| CF Estrela Amadora15 Dec | 82 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Samu Aghehowa have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Samu Aghehowa has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Samu Aghehowa average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Samu Aghehowa is averaging 1.34 shots on target and 2.69 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Samu Aghehowa get booked?
Samu Aghehowa is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Samu Aghehowa commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Samu Aghehowa commits 0.94 fouls per 90 and wins 2.28 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Samu Aghehowa?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Samu Aghehowa plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.