What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances
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Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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In 26/27, Henrique Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (3 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 25%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Henrique Araújo in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 9 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henrique AraújoBenfica | 5 | 6.21 | 3.10 |
| Franjo IvanovićBenfica | 25 | 3.25 | 1.93 |
| Samu AghehowaFC Porto | 20 | 3.50 | 1.15 |
| Luis Javier SuárezSporting CP | 32 | 4.54 | 1.43 |
| Fotis IoannidisSporting CP | 13 | 1.94 | 0.97 |
| Vangelis PavlidisBenfica | 33 | 3.27 | 0.51 |
| These 5, combined | 3.65 | 1.11 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Henrique Araújo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara10 Oct | 54 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Estoril Praia20 Sep | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Porto12 Sep | 74 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Vitória SC6 Sep | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Moreirense30 Aug | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Gil Vicente24 Aug | 60 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Benfica17 Aug | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Marítimo8 Aug | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Casa Pia9 Nov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Vitória SC1 Nov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Henrique Araújo have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Henrique Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (3 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Henrique Araújo average?
Across 8 Primeira Liga appearances in 26/27, Henrique Araújo is averaging 0.61 shots on target and 2.02 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Henrique Araújo get booked?
Henrique Araújo is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Henrique Araújo commit or win more fouls?
This season Henrique Araújo commits 0.61 fouls per 90 and wins 1.42 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Henrique Araújo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Henrique Araújo plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.