Henrique Araújo
Striker 100% of starts · Watford · Championship 22/23
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 8 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 26/27 · 151 appearances
Over the last 8 Championship games, Henrique Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 8 games Henrique Araújo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City8 May | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Coventry City10 Apr | 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Preston North End4 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield United25 Feb | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Burnley14 Feb | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers11 Feb | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Reading4 Feb | 71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Middlesbrough28 Jan | 45 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Henrique Araújo have a shot on target?
Over the last 8 Championship games, Henrique Araújo has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Henrique Araújo average?
Across the last 8 Championship games, Henrique Araújo is averaging 0.53 shots on target and 1.06 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Henrique Araújo get booked?
Henrique Araújo is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 8 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Henrique Araújo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 8 games Henrique Araújo commits 1.85 fouls per 90 and wins 0.79 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Henrique Araújo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Henrique Araújo plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.