Clermont Foot v Stade Brestois
How the SharpXI model rated this Ligue 1 fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Clermont Foot drew with Stade Brestois 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Steve Mounié for 1+ fouls committed (82%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Grejohn Kyei for 1+ fouls committed (84%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grejohn Kyei | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Steve Mounié | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 5 | ✓ |
| Steve Mounié | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mahdi Camara | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pierre Lees Melou | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Shamar Nicholson | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Muhammed-Cham Saračević | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Maximiliano Caufriez | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Romain Del Castillo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Grejohn Kyei | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Shamar Nicholson | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Muhammed-Cham Saračević | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Julien Le Cardinal | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 52% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 49% | 8 cards | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 48% | 2 goals | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Stade Brestois 3–0 Clermont Foot Dec 2023
- Stade Brestois 2–1 Clermont Foot May 2023
- Clermont Foot 1–3 Stade Brestois Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Clermont Foot v Stade Brestois?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Clermont Foot v Stade Brestois?
The most confident call it got wrong was Grejohn Kyei at 84% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Ligue 1?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.