Clermont Foot v Stade Rennais
How the SharpXI model rated this Ligue 1 fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Clermont Foot lost to Stade Rennais 1–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Désiré Doué for 1+ fouls drawn (84%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Désiré Doué for 1+ fouls committed (88%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Désiré Doué | fouls committed | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Désiré Doué | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Amine Gouiri | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 6 | ✓ |
| Alidu Seidu | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Martin Terrier | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Guéla Doué | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Muhammed-Cham Saračević | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Baptiste Santamaria | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Arnaud Kalimuendo | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 4 | ✓ |
| Amine Gouiri | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Christopher Wooh | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Martin Terrier | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Shamar Nicholson | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 3 | ✓ |
| Aïman Maurer | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Fouls drawn · Shots total
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 53% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 49% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 34% | 4 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Stade Rennais 3–1 Clermont Foot Feb 2024
- Stade Rennais 2–0 Clermont Foot Feb 2023
- Clermont Foot 2–1 Stade Rennais Jan 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Clermont Foot v Stade Rennais?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Clermont Foot v Stade Rennais?
The most confident call it got wrong was Désiré Doué at 88% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Ligue 1?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.