RC Strasbourg v Montpellier
How the SharpXI model rated this Ligue 1 fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before RC Strasbourg beat Montpellier 2–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Andrey Santos for 1+ tackles (95%, had 4). Its clearest miss: Wahbi Khazri for 1+ shots total (92%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrey Santos | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 4 | ✓ |
| Andy Delort | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Emegha | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Valentín Barco | tackles | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Khalil Fayad | tackles | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Wahbi Khazri | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Khalil Fayad | fouls drawn | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Teji Savanier | fouls drawn | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Wahbi Khazri | fouls drawn | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Khalil Fayad | fouls committed | 1+ | 90% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | fouls committed | 1+ | 90% | 3 | ✓ |
| Enzo Tchato Mbiayi | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Modibo Sagnan | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joris Chotard | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 61% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 60% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 59% | 5 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Montpellier 1–1 RC Strasbourg Aug 2024
- Montpellier 2–2 RC Strasbourg Mar 2024
- RC Strasbourg 2–2 Montpellier Sep 2023
- RC Strasbourg 2–0 Montpellier Feb 2023
- Montpellier 2–1 RC Strasbourg Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on RC Strasbourg v Montpellier?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on RC Strasbourg v Montpellier?
The most confident call it got wrong was Wahbi Khazri at 92% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Ligue 1?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.