Rodez AF v Paris FC
How the SharpXI model rated this Ligue 1 fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Rodez AF beat Paris FC 5–4, the SharpXI model made 7 confident calls on the player markets and 2 landed — the strongest being Vincent Marchetti for 1+ shots total (58%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Waniss Taibi for 1+ fouls committed (68%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waniss Taibi | fouls committed | 1+ | 68% | 0 | ✗ |
| Vincent Marchetti | fouls drawn | 1+ | 66% | 0 | ✗ |
| Vincent Marchetti | fouls committed | 1+ | 62% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dembo Sylla | fouls committed | 1+ | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
| Waniss Taibi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
| Vincent Marchetti | shots total | 1+ | 58% | 1 | ✓ |
| Waniss Taibi | shots total | 1+ | 56% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dembo Sylla | fouls drawn | 1+ | 50% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dembo Sylla | shots total | 1+ | 40% | 4 | ✓ |
| Vincent Marchetti | shots on target | 1+ | 27% | 1 | ✓ |
| Waniss Taibi | shots on target | 1+ | 27% | 1 | ✓ |
| Vincent Marchetti | cards | — | 24% | Not booked | ✗ |
| Waniss Taibi | cards | — | 21% | Not booked | ✗ |
| Dembo Sylla | cards | — | 18% | Not booked | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Fouls drawn · Shots total · Shots on target · Cards
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Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Rodez AF v Paris FC?
2 of its 7 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Rodez AF v Paris FC?
The most confident call it got wrong was Waniss Taibi at 68% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Ligue 1?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.