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Ligue 1 · 23/24

Stade de Reims v Clermont Foot

How the SharpXI model rated this Ligue 1 fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Stade de Reims2 – 0 Clermont Foot 20 Aug 2023
6/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Stade de Reims beat Clermont Foot 2–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 6 landed — the strongest being Marshall Munetsi for 1+ fouls committed (88%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Komnen Andrić for 1+ fouls drawn (80%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Romain Lissorgue refereed this match 4.16cards/game 1.07×vs league 37games
Romain Lissorgue's card record →
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Marshall Munetsi fouls committed 1+ 88% 2
Alidu Seidu fouls drawn 1+ 84% 2
Komnen Andrić fouls drawn 1+ 80% 0
Josh Wilson-Esbrand fouls committed 1+ 80% 0
Amir Richardson fouls committed 1+ 79% 0
Azor Matusiwa fouls committed 1+ 79% 0
Keito Nakamura fouls committed 1+ 79% 2
Muhammed-Cham Saračević shots total 1+ 78% 4
Oumar Diakité fouls committed 1+ 78% 1
Grejohn Kyei fouls committed 1+ 77% 0
Keito Nakamura shots total 1+ 77% 2
Yohann Magnin fouls committed 1+ 77% 0
Grejohn Kyei fouls drawn 1+ 77% 0
Yunis Abdelhamid fouls committed 1+ 77% 0

How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Fouls drawn · Shots total

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
BTTS Yes 61% No
Match goals O2.5 60% 2 goals
Match cards O4.5 36% 0 cards

How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Stade de Reims v Clermont Foot?

6 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Stade de Reims v Clermont Foot?

The most confident call it got wrong was Komnen Andrić at 80% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Ligue 1?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.