Stade de Reims v Olympique Lyonnais
How the SharpXI model rated this Ligue 1 fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Stade de Reims drew with Olympique Lyonnais 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Ernest Nuamah for 1+ fouls committed (80%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Malick Fofana for 1+ fouls drawn (78%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Nuamah | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Amadou Koné | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rayan Cherki | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 4 | ✓ |
| Ernest Nuamah | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Malick Fofana | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Keito Nakamura | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 4 | ✓ |
| Oumar Diakité | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Corentin Tolisso | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Alexandre Lacazette | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Valentin Atangana Edoa | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Saïd Benrahma | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
| Malick Fofana | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Thibault De Smet | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rayan Cherki | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Fouls drawn · Shots total
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 63% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 60% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 40% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Olympique Lyonnais 4–0 Stade de Reims Feb 2025
- Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 Stade de Reims Mar 2024
- Stade de Reims 2–0 Olympique Lyonnais Oct 2023
- Olympique Lyonnais 3–0 Stade de Reims May 2023
- Stade de Reims 1–1 Olympique Lyonnais Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Stade de Reims v Olympique Lyonnais?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Stade de Reims v Olympique Lyonnais?
The most confident call it got wrong was Malick Fofana at 78% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Ligue 1?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.