Stade de Reims v Stade Brestois
How the SharpXI model rated this Ligue 1 fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Stade de Reims lost to Stade Brestois 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Pierre Lees Melou for 1+ tackles (95%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Mamadou Diakhon for 1+ fouls drawn (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Lees Melou | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kamory Doumbia | tackles | 1+ | 93% | 4 | ✓ |
| Ibrahim Salah | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mamadou Diakhon | fouls drawn | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Romain Faivre | fouls drawn | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kenny Lala | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jordan Amavi | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marshall Munetsi | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Aurélio Buta | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Yaya Fofana | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Emmanuel Agbadou | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonas Martin | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Pierre Lees Melou | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mama Baldé | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 57% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 44% | 5 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Stade Brestois 0–0 Stade de Reims Mar 2025
- Stade Brestois 1–1 Stade de Reims May 2024
- Stade de Reims 1–2 Stade Brestois Sep 2023
- Stade de Reims 1–1 Stade Brestois Apr 2023
- Stade Brestois 0–0 Stade de Reims Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Stade de Reims v Stade Brestois?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Stade de Reims v Stade Brestois?
The most confident call it got wrong was Mamadou Diakhon at 91% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Ligue 1?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.