What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 5 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 central midfielder, 25/26, 2,122 appearances
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Over the last 5 Ligue 1 games, Axel Witsel has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 5). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Axel Witsel in Ligue 1, 26/27 — drawn from 22 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Axel WitselNice | 5 | 1.32 | 0.44 |
| Joris ChotardStade Brestois | 6 | 1.40 | 1.05 |
| Nabil BentalebLille | 6 | 0.89 | 1.24 |
| Noah CadiouLorient | 6 | 1.35 | 0.84 |
| Denis ZakariaAS Monaco | 6 | 0.92 | 1.11 |
| Himad AbdelliOlympique de Marseille | 6 | 0.58 | 1.15 |
| These 5, combined | 1.04 | 1.08 |
Recent matches
The last 5 games Axel Witsel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Strasbourg11 Oct | 86 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Lille20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Auxerre12 Sep | 86 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Le Mans5 Sep | 73 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Paris FC30 Aug | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Axel Witsel have a shot on target?
Over the last 5 Ligue 1 games, Axel Witsel has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (2 of 5). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Axel Witsel average?
Across the last 5 Ligue 1 games, Axel Witsel is averaging 0.44 shots on target and 1.32 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Axel Witsel get booked?
Axel Witsel is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 5 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Axel Witsel commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 5 games Axel Witsel commits 0.44 fouls per 90 and wins 1.32 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Axel Witsel?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Axel Witsel plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.