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Ligue 1 · 25/26
BA

Bahereba Guirassy

Forward · Nantes · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Bahereba Guirassy has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% of 20 Ligue 1 appearances (4 of 20), 1+ total shot in 45%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (2 of 20). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 39 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.77
40%4 of 10
1.53
60%6 of 10
2.68
70%7 of 10
3.45
20%2 of 10
0.77
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Bahereba Guirassy featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Stade Rennais26 Apr 22 0 1 1 1 0
@ Metz5 Apr 17 1 1 0 0 0
RC Strasbourg22 Mar 9 1 1 1 0 1
Le Havre22 Feb 37 0 0 2 1 0
Olympique Lyonnais7 Feb 12 0 1 0 0 0
Paris FC18 Jan 25 0 0 1 1 0
@ Olympique de Marseille4 Jan 8 0 0 2 1 1
RC Lens6 Dec 44 0 0 0 0 0
@ Olympique Lyonnais30 Nov 32 0 0 1 1 0
Lorient23 Nov 29 0 0 1 2 0
Officials on record
Benoît Bastien 4 games · Bahereba Guirassy never booked 3.99cards/game 1.03×vs league
Benoît Millot 4 games · Bahereba Guirassy never booked 3.94cards/game 1.01×vs league
Gael Angoula 3 games · Bahereba Guirassy never booked 3.27cards/game 0.84×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 3 games · Bahereba Guirassy never booked 4.09cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Bahereba Guirassy have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Bahereba Guirassy has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% of 20 Ligue 1 appearances (4 of 20). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Bahereba Guirassy average?

Across 20 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Bahereba Guirassy is averaging 0.76 shots on target and 1.63 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Bahereba Guirassy get booked?

Bahereba Guirassy is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Bahereba Guirassy commit or win more fouls?

This season Bahereba Guirassy commits 1.63 fouls per 90 and wins 0.98 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Bahereba Guirassy?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Bahereba Guirassy plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.