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Ligue 1 25/26
DE

Deiver Machado

Wing-back 77% of 30 recent starts NantesLigue 1 25/26

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 wing-back, 25/26, 587 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
Total shots0.91 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Fouls won1.82 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Fouls committed1.95 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
Tackles1.82 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
10%
1 of 101.9×
Cards0.26 per 90
20%
2 of 101.6×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Deiver Machado has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wing-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Deiver Machado in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 22 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Deiver MachadoRC Lens 190.99 1.90
Darlin YongwaNorwich City 230.69 0.96
Panos KatserisLorient 160.84 1.56
Ali AbdiNice 231.19 1.71
Rafik MessaliToulouse 120.00 1.98
Saud AbdulhamidRC Lens 250.53 1.73
These 5, combined 0.72 1.53

Recent matches

The last 10 games Deiver Machado featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Olympique de Marseille2 May 26 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Stade Rennais26 Apr 90 0 1 2 2 2 1
@ Paris Saint-Germain22 Apr 90 0 0 2 1 1 0
Stade Brestois19 Apr 90 0 1 1 1 3 0
@ Auxerre11 Apr 90 1 3 2 4 4 0
@ Metz5 Apr 45 0 0 0 1 1 0
Angers7 Mar 65 0 0 5 3 1 1
@ Lille1 Mar 63 0 0 1 1 1 0
Le Havre22 Feb 45 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ AS Monaco13 Feb 90 0 2 2 1 0 0
Officials on record
François Letexier 8 games Deiver Machado booked in 2 4.22cards/game 1.09×vs league
Jeremie Pignard 8 games Deiver Machado booked in 2 4.43cards/game 1.14×vs league
Clement Turpin 7 games Deiver Machado booked in 1 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
Willy Delajod 7 games Deiver Machado booked in 1 3.71cards/game 0.96×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Deiver Machado have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Deiver Machado has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Deiver Machado average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Deiver Machado is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Deiver Machado get booked?

Deiver Machado is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Deiver Machado commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Deiver Machado commits 1.95 fouls per 90 and wins 1.82 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Deiver Machado?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Deiver Machado plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.