What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Fali Candé has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wide centre-backs
Fali Candé has no Ligue 1 record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Ligue 1 wide centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fali CandéSassuoloSerie A | 12 | 0.53 | 1.58 |
| Bamo MeïtéOlympique de Marseille | 25 | 0.36 | 1.36 |
| Jonathan GraditRC Lens | 10 | 0.22 | 1.67 |
| Abdoulaye FayeCelta Vigo | 17 | 0.50 | 1.56 |
| Stephan ZagadouLe Havre | 8 | 0.18 | 1.25 |
| Thilo KehrerAS Monaco | 28 | 0.61 | 1.03 |
| These 5, combined | 0.44 | 1.32 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Fali Candé featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Étienne2 Jun | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| @ RC Strasbourg12 May | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Stade Rennais4 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| RC Lens12 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stade Brestois7 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Monaco30 Mar | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Stade de Reims17 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Clermont Foot10 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Nantes3 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Montpellier18 Feb | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Fali Candé have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Fali Candé has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Fali Candé average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Fali Candé is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 0.50 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Fali Candé get booked?
Fali Candé is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Fali Candé commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Fali Candé commits 0.63 fouls per 90 and wins 1.26 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Fali Candé?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Fali Candé plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.