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Ligue 1 25/26
JO

Joel Asoro

Winger 50% of 12 recent starts MetzLigue 1 25/26

Last games
max 28 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 winger, 25/26, 1,137 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.35 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
Total shots1.40 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
Fouls won0.70 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed0.70 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Tackles0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Joel Asoro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Joel Asoro in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 42 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Joel AsoroMetz 81.55 0.77
Moses SimonParis FC 291.51 0.67
Ibrahim MbayeAston Villa 242.17 0.90
Félix CorreiaSevilla 341.61 0.61
Mohamed Ali ChoHull City 261.71 0.70
Simon AdingraAS Monaco 142.28 0.73
These 5, combined 1.75 0.70

Recent matches

The last 10 games Joel Asoro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ RC Strasbourg18 Jan 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Lorient4 Jan 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Auxerre7 Dec 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stade Rennais28 Nov 71 1 2 0 1 0 0
@ Stade Brestois23 Nov 78 0 1 1 0 0 0
Nice9 Nov 9 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Nantes2 Nov 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Toulouse19 Oct 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
AS Monaco30 Mar 24 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Stade de Reims17 Mar 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Romain Lissorgue 3 games Joel Asoro never booked 4.05cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Ligue 1 official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Joel Asoro have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Joel Asoro has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Joel Asoro average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Joel Asoro is averaging 0.35 shots on target and 1.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Joel Asoro get booked?

Joel Asoro is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Joel Asoro commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Joel Asoro commits 0.70 fouls per 90 and wins 0.70 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joel Asoro?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joel Asoro plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.