What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 full-back, 25/26, 1,078 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Kelvin Amian has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Kelvin Amian in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 44 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin AmianNantes | 23 | 0.46 | 1.06 |
| Ben ChilwellCrystal Palace | 20 | 0.28 | 0.79 |
| Lucas HernándezParis Saint-Germain | 25 | 0.57 | 1.13 |
| Kenny LalaStade Brestois | 32 | 0.29 | 0.55 |
| Nicolas CozzaNantes | 29 | 0.47 | 0.90 |
| Loic NégoLe Havre | 30 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| These 5, combined | 0.44 | 0.78 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Kelvin Amian featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Metz5 Apr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| RC Strasbourg22 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Olympique Lyonnais7 Feb | 71 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Lorient31 Jan | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nice25 Jan | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Paris FC18 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille4 Jan | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Angers12 Dec | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| RC Lens6 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Olympique Lyonnais30 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Kelvin Amian have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Kelvin Amian has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Kelvin Amian average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Kelvin Amian is averaging 0.23 shots on target and 0.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Kelvin Amian get booked?
Kelvin Amian is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Kelvin Amian commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Kelvin Amian commits 1.25 fouls per 90 and wins 1.02 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Kelvin Amian?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Kelvin Amian plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.