Lucas Michal
Forward MetzLigue 1 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 forward, 25/26, 2,438 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Michal has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Michal featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Le Havre26 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Paris FC19 Apr | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille10 Apr | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nantes5 Apr | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Toulouse15 Mar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade Brestois1 Mar | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain21 Feb | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Auxerre15 Feb | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lille6 Feb | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stade Brestois5 Dec | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Ligue 1 official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Michal have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Michal has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lucas Michal average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Michal is averaging 0.78 shots on target and 2.72 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Michal get booked?
Lucas Michal is averaging 0.39 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Michal commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas Michal commits 1.55 fouls per 90 and wins 0.78 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Michal?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Michal plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.