Lucas Mincarelli
Full-back 40% of 20 recent starts MontpellierLigue 1 24/25
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 full-back, 25/26, 1,078 appearances
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Mincarelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Mincarelli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Nantes17 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Paris Saint-Germain10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Stade Brestois4 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Stade de Reims27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille19 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Angers13 Apr | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique de Marseille20 Oct | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Stade de Reims6 Oct | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AS Monaco28 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Auxerre22 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Mincarelli have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Mincarelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lucas Mincarelli average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Mincarelli is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.88 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Mincarelli get booked?
Lucas Mincarelli is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Mincarelli commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas Mincarelli commits 0.63 fouls per 90 and wins 0.63 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Mincarelli?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lucas Mincarelli plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.