Lucas Mincarelli
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Mincarelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas Mincarelli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Nantes17 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Paris Saint-Germain10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stade Brestois4 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stade de Reims27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille19 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Angers13 Apr | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique de Marseille20 Oct | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Stade de Reims6 Oct | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AS Monaco28 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Auxerre22 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas Mincarelli have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Mincarelli has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Lucas Mincarelli average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lucas Mincarelli is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.88 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas Mincarelli get booked?
Lucas Mincarelli is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas Mincarelli commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas Mincarelli commits 0.63 fouls per 90 and wins 0.63 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas Mincarelli?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Lucas Mincarelli plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.