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Ligue 1 26/27
MI

Michel Diaz

Centre-back 95% of 22 recent starts TroyesLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille›
Sun 11 OctReferee Guillaume Paradis

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 25 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.8×
10.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.67 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
4.00bet365Edge
Fouls won0.56 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Fouls committed1.00 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles1.67 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
20%
2 of 10
Cards0.45 per 90
40%
4 of 102.3×
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Michel Diaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Michel Diaz in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 57 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Michel DiazTroyes 200.40 0.46
Aïssa MandiLevante UD 290.52 0.63
Moustapha MbowParis FC 310.33 0.93
Ousmane CamaraAngers 320.43 0.73
Ilya ZabarnyiParis Saint-Germain 280.15 0.68
Chidozie AwaziemNantes 260.44 0.93
These 5, combined 0.37 0.78

Recent matches

The last 10 games Michel Diaz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Angers19 Sep 90 0 0 2 0 2 0
@ Lille13 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
RC Strasbourg6 Sep 90 1 2 0 1 1 1
@ Lorient29 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
Paris FC22 Aug 90 0 0 3 0 2 1
RC Strasbourg13 May 90 1 2 1 2 3 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain10 May 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
RC Lens24 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stade Rennais4 Apr 76 0 0 1 1 4 1
@ Auxerre21 Mar 90 0 1 1 1 1 1

Frequently asked

How often does Michel Diaz have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Michel Diaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Michel Diaz average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Michel Diaz is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Michel Diaz get booked?

Michel Diaz is averaging 0.45 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Michel Diaz commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Michel Diaz commits 1.00 fouls per 90 and wins 0.56 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Michel Diaz?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Michel Diaz plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.