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Ligue 1 22/23
NI

Nicolas Pépé

Winger 41% of 17 recent starts VillarrealLigue 1 22/23

Also in: La Liga

Next match
Villarreal vs RC Strasbourg›
Sun 11 OctReferee Jeremie Pignard

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 19 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 winger, 25/26, 1,137 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.34 per 90
70%
7 of 102.0×
Total shots2.38 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
Fouls won1.65 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Fouls committed0.72 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Tackles1.45 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
10%
1 of 100.8×
Cards0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
Goals0.31 per 90
20%
2 of 101.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Nicolas Pépé has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nicolas Pépé featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Paris Saint-Germain8 Apr 90 2 4 0 0 4 0
@ Angers2 Apr 90 0 3 0 2 2 0
Lorient19 Mar 90 0 0 2 0 3 0
@ Stade de Reims15 Jan 90 1 1 0 2 1 0
Montpellier11 Jan 67 3 3 2 2 1 1
@ Stade Rennais2 Jan 90 0 0 0 2 1 0
RC Lens29 Dec 90 2 2 1 4 2 1
@ Olympique Lyonnais11 Nov 89 2 4 0 1 0 0
Stade Brestois6 Nov 86 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ Lorient30 Oct 89 2 5 2 2 0 0
Officials on record
Eric Wattellier 4 games Nicolas Pépé never booked 3.40cards/game 0.88×vs league
François Letexier 3 games Nicolas Pépé never booked 4.22cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nicolas Pépé have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Nicolas Pépé has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nicolas Pépé average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Nicolas Pépé is averaging 1.34 shots on target and 2.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nicolas Pépé get booked?

Nicolas Pépé is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nicolas Pépé commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nicolas Pépé commits 0.72 fouls per 90 and wins 1.65 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolas Pépé?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolas Pépé plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.