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Ligue 1 25/26
PA

Pablo Rosario

Central midfielder 80% of 30 recent starts FC PortoLigue 1 25/26

Next match
FC Porto vs RC Strasbourg›
Sun 11 OctReferee Jeremie Pignard

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 central midfielder, 25/26, 2,122 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.51 per 90
20%
2 of 101.1×
Total shots1.18 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
Fouls won0.51 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed0.84 per 90
40%
4 of 100.7×
Tackles2.53 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.1×
20%
2 of 102.1×
Cards0.67 per 90
40%
4 of 102.5×
Goals0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 101.9×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Pablo Rosario has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Pablo Rosario in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 83 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Pablo RosarioFC Porto 16.67 0.00
Vincent MarchettiParis FC 232.57 1.29
Pape DiopRC Strasbourg 152.20 1.14
Kang-in LeeAtlético Madrid 272.19 1.06
Marshall MunetsiWolverhampton 151.73 1.09
Djaoui CisséStade Rennais 242.16 1.62
These 5, combined 2.16 1.22

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Pablo Rosario featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Auxerre23 Aug 27 1 2 0 0 1 0
@ Stade Rennais10 May 62 0 1 2 0 1 1
Stade de Reims2 May 90 0 1 1 1 2 1
@ Paris Saint-Germain25 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
Angers20 Apr 90 2 2 0 1 2 0
@ RC Strasbourg12 Apr 11 0 0 1 0 0 1
Nantes4 Apr 62 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ AS Monaco29 Mar 67 0 1 0 0 4 0
Auxerre14 Mar 22 0 0 1 0 1 1
Olympique Lyonnais9 Mar 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Jeremy Stinat 9 games Pablo Rosario booked in 2 3.89cards/game 1.01×vs league
Jeremie Pignard 8 games Pablo Rosario booked in 1 4.43cards/game 1.14×vs league
Clement Turpin 7 games Pablo Rosario never booked 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
Eric Wattellier 7 games Pablo Rosario never booked 3.40cards/game 0.88×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Pablo Rosario have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Pablo Rosario has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Pablo Rosario average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Pablo Rosario is averaging 0.51 shots on target and 1.18 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Pablo Rosario get booked?

Pablo Rosario is averaging 0.67 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Pablo Rosario commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Pablo Rosario commits 0.84 fouls per 90 and wins 0.51 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Pablo Rosario?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Pablo Rosario plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.