Youssef El Arabi
Striker 100% of 11 recent starts NantesLigue 1 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Youssef El Arabi has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Youssef El Arabi in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef El ArabiNantes | 25 | 1.38 | 2.02 |
| Sékou MaraRC Strasbourg | 27 | 2.41 | 1.97 |
| Prosper PeterAngers | 29 | 1.63 | 2.12 |
| Jean-Philippe KrassoParis FC | 25 | 2.21 | 1.64 |
| Breel EmboloStade Rennais | 31 | 1.97 | 2.31 |
| Mika BierethAS Monaco | 32 | 1.54 | 1.30 |
| These 5, combined | 1.95 | 1.93 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Youssef El Arabi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ RC Lens8 May | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Stade Rennais26 Apr | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Paris Saint-Germain22 Apr | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lille1 Mar | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Le Havre22 Feb | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| @ AS Monaco13 Feb | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique Lyonnais7 Feb | 45 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lorient31 Jan | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nice25 Jan | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Paris FC18 Jan | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Ligue 1 official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Youssef El Arabi have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Youssef El Arabi has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Youssef El Arabi average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Youssef El Arabi is averaging 0.83 shots on target and 1.65 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Youssef El Arabi get booked?
Youssef El Arabi is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Youssef El Arabi commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Youssef El Arabi commits 1.65 fouls per 90 and wins 2.20 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Youssef El Arabi?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Youssef El Arabi plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.