Premier League · 23/24
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Bournemouth v Luton
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Bournemouth4 – 3
Luton
13 Mar 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 14 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Sinisterra | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 4 | ✓ |
| Enes Ünal | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 4 | ✓ |
| Dango Ouattara | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominic Solanke | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Antoine Semenyo | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 5 | ✓ |
| Carlton Morris | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 3 | ✓ |
| Marcus Tavernier | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ross Barkley | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Chiedozie Ogbene | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tahith Chong | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Enes Ünal | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tahith Chong | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Chiedozie Ogbene | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ryan Christie | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 3 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 65% | 7 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 60% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Bournemouth & Luton player stats→
Bournemouth players & stats→
Luton players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Luton 2–1 Bournemouth Apr 2024
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.