Premier League · 23/24
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Luton v Bournemouth
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Luton2 – 1
Bournemouth
6 Apr 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 6 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Semenyo | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Justin Kluivert | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Dominic Solanke | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Enes Ünal | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dango Ouattara | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marcus Tavernier | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 3 | ✓ |
| Philip Billing | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Carlton Morris | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 5 | ✓ |
| Ross Barkley | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 5 | ✓ |
| Andros Townsend | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ryan Christie | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Enes Ünal | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Enes Ünal | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tahith Chong | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 60% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 25% | 0 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Luton & Bournemouth player stats→
Luton players & stats→
Bournemouth players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Bournemouth 4–3 Luton Mar 2024
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.