Premier League · 25/26

Brighton v Burnley

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Brighton2 – 0 Burnley 3 Jan 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Charalampos Kostoulas	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Georginio Rutter	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Yasin Ayari	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Marcus Edwards	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Diego Gómez	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Kaoru Mitoma	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Brajan Gruda	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Jacob Bruun Larsen	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Joël Veltman	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Armando Broja	shots total	1+	84%	0	✗
Loum Tchaouna	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Jaidon Anthony	fouls drawn	1+	78%	3	✓
Georginio Rutter	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Armando Broja	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	65%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	53%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	44%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Brighton & Burnley player stats→ Brighton players & stats→ Burnley players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works