Premier League · 25/26

Burnley v Fulham

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Burnley2 – 3 Fulham 13 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Samuel Chukwueze	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
Harry Wilson	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Raúl Jiménez	shots total	1+	96%	0	✗
Emile Smith Rowe	shots total	1+	95%	1	✓
Zian Flemming	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Marcus Edwards	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Jacob Bruun Larsen	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Armando Broja	shots total	1+	83%	3	✓
Alex Iwobi	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Lyle Foster	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Lesley Ugochukwu	fouls drawn	1+	73%	3	✓
Harry Wilson	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗
Kenny Tete	fouls drawn	1+	73%	1	✓
Marcus Edwards	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	43%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	19%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Burnley & Fulham player stats→ Burnley players & stats→ Fulham players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works