Premier League · 25/26

Burnley v Man Utd

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Burnley2 – 2 Man Utd 7 Jan 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Matheus Cunha	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Bruno Fernandes	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Benjamin Šeško	shots total	1+	99%	8	✓
Mason Mount	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Marcus Edwards	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Casemiro	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Armando Broja	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Patrick Dorgu	fouls drawn	1+	86%	3	✓
Hannibal Mejbri	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Matheus Cunha	fouls drawn	1+	85%	1	✓
Matheus Cunha	shots on target	1+	80%	2	✓
Jaidon Anthony	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓
Manuel Ugarte	fouls committed	1+	76%	1	✓
Patrick Dorgu	shots total	1+	74%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	54%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	53%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	23%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Burnley & Man Utd player stats→ Burnley players & stats→ Man Utd players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works