Burnley v Sunderland
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliezer Mayenda | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Simon Adingra | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 0 | ✗ |
| Wilson Isidor | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Chemsdine Talbi | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jaidon Anthony | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Habib Diarra | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lyle Foster | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Enzo Le Fée | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Noah Sadiki | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Josh Laurent | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Granit Xhaka | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Reinildo Mandava | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Hannibal Mejbri | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 26% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 9% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 0% | 1 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sunderland 3–0 Burnley Feb 2026
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.