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Premier League · 25/26

Burnley v Sunderland

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Burnley2 – 0 Sunderland 23 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Eliezer Mayenda shots total 1+ 96% 1
Simon Adingra shots total 1+ 96% 0
Wilson Isidor shots total 1+ 96% 0
Jacob Bruun Larsen shots total 1+ 93% 1
Chemsdine Talbi shots total 1+ 93% 1
Jaidon Anthony shots total 1+ 83% 2
Habib Diarra shots total 1+ 80% 0
Lyle Foster shots total 1+ 79% 0
Enzo Le Fée shots total 1+ 78% 1
Noah Sadiki shots total 1+ 78% 0
Josh Laurent shots total 1+ 74% 0
Granit Xhaka shots total 1+ 74% 1
Reinildo Mandava fouls drawn 1+ 73% 2
Hannibal Mejbri fouls drawn 1+ 73% 2

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Btts Yes 26% No
Match goals O2.5 9% 2 goals
Match cards O4.5 0% 1 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.