Crystal Palace v West Ham
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Valentín Castellanos | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 3 | ✓ |
| Yéremy Pino | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Crysencio Summerville | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ismaïla Sarr | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pablo Felipe | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Crysencio Summerville | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jarrod Bowen | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mateus Fernandes | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ismaïla Sarr | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Crysencio Summerville | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 53% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- West Ham 1–2 Crystal Palace Sep 2025
- West Ham 0–2 Crystal Palace Jan 2025
- Crystal Palace 0–2 West Ham Aug 2024
- Crystal Palace 5–2 West Ham Apr 2024
- West Ham 1–1 Crystal Palace Dec 2023
- Crystal Palace 4–3 West Ham Apr 2023
- West Ham 1–2 Crystal Palace Nov 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.