Premier League · 23/24

Fulham v Luton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Fulham1 – 0 Luton 16 Sep 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Raúl Jiménez	shots total	1+	96%	1	✓
Carlos Vinícius	shots total	1+	95%	1	✓
Carlton Morris	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Andreas Pereira	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Jacob Brown	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Willian	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Alex Iwobi	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Harry Wilson	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
Harry Wilson	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
João Palhinha	shots total	1+	78%	3	✓
Kenny Tete	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
João Palhinha	fouls committed	1+	76%	2	✓
Tahith Chong	shots total	1+	74%	1	✓
Kenny Tete	fouls committed	1+	74%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	60%	1 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	60%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	29%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Fulham & Luton player stats→ Fulham players & stats→ Luton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Luton 2–4 Fulham May 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works