Premier League · 24/25
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Ipswich v Leicester
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Ipswich1 – 1
Leicester
2 Nov 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Delap | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 0 | ✗ |
| Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Conor Chaplin | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 3 | ✓ |
| Sammie Szmodics | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Facundo Buonanotte | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jamie Vardy | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Facundo Buonanotte | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kalvin Phillips | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 4 | ✓ |
| Facundo Buonanotte | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stephy Mavididi | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kalvin Phillips | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Omari Hutchinson | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Liam Delap | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 54% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 29% | 8 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Ipswich & Leicester player stats→
Ipswich players & stats→
Leicester players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Leicester 2–0 Ipswich May 2025
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.