Liverpool v Fulham
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Liverpool drew with Fulham 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Alexander Isak for 1+ shots total (94%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Kenny Tete for 1+ tackles (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Barcola | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alexander Isak | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kenny Tete | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Antonee Robinson | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Cody Gakpo | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gonzalo García | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Víctor Muñoz | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Florian Wirtz | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Calvin Bassey | tackles | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Oscar Bobb | tackles | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| David Affengruber | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Timothy Castagne | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alexis Mac Allister | tackles | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 60% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 58% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 22% | 1 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Liverpool 2–0 Fulham Apr 2026
- Fulham 2–2 Liverpool Jan 2026
- Fulham 3–2 Liverpool Apr 2025
- Liverpool 2–2 Fulham Dec 2024
- Fulham 1–3 Liverpool Apr 2024
- Fulham 1–1 Liverpool Jan 2024
- Liverpool 2–1 Fulham Jan 2024
- Liverpool 4–3 Fulham Dec 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Liverpool v Fulham?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Liverpool v Fulham?
The most confident call it got wrong was Kenny Tete at 91% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Premier League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.