Premier League · 23/24

Luton v Crystal Palace

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Luton2 – 1 Crystal Palace 25 Nov 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Eberechi Eze	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Jordan Ayew	fouls drawn	1+	100%	3	✓
Odsonne Édouard	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Michael Olise	shots total	1+	88%	5	✓
Jordan Ayew	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Carlton Morris	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Andros Townsend	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Tahith Chong	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Michael Olise	fouls drawn	1+	86%	2	✓
Eberechi Eze	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Chiedozie Ogbene	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Chiedozie Ogbene	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Ross Barkley	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Carlton Morris	fouls committed	1+	78%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	50%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	43%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	19%	7 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Luton & Crystal Palace player stats→ Luton players & stats→ Crystal Palace players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Crystal Palace 1–1 Luton Mar 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works