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Premier League · 23/24

Man City v Sheffield United

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Man City2 – 0 Sheffield United 30 Dec 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 7 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jack Grealish fouls drawn 1+ 100% 2
Julián Alvarez shots total 1+ 100% 4
Phil Foden shots total 1+ 96% 3
Jack Grealish shots total 1+ 93% 0
Rodri shots total 1+ 93% 4
Phil Foden fouls drawn 1+ 85% 0
Oscar Bobb shots total 1+ 80% 1
Mateo Kovačić shots total 1+ 79% 0
Bernardo Silva shots total 1+ 78% 1
Vinícius Souza fouls committed 1+ 76% 0
William Osula shots total 1+ 74% 2
Oscar Bobb fouls drawn 1+ 73% 0
Rico Lewis fouls drawn 1+ 73% 0
Cameron Archer shots total 1+ 73% 0

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 65% 2 goals
Match cards O4.5 58% 2 cards
Btts Yes 34% No

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Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.