Premier League · 23/24

Sheffield United v Man City

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sheffield United1 – 2 Man City 27 Aug 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Erling Haaland	shots total	1+	100%	8	✓
Jack Grealish	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Julián Alvarez	shots total	1+	100%	8	✓
Jack Grealish	fouls drawn	1+	100%	4	✓
Rodri	shots total	1+	88%	5	✓
Mateo Kovačić	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Erling Haaland	shots on target	1+	80%	3	✓
Vinícius Souza	fouls committed	1+	79%	2	✓
Bernardo Silva	shots total	1+	74%	0	✗
Gustavo Hamer	shots total	1+	74%	1	✓
William Osula	shots total	1+	74%	0	✗
Julián Alvarez	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗
William Osula	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗
Mateo Kovačić	fouls drawn	1+	73%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	54%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	26%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	23%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Sheffield United & Man City player stats→ Sheffield United players & stats→ Man City players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Man City 2–0 Sheffield United Dec 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works