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Premier League · 23/24

Sheffield United v Brighton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sheffield United0 – 5 Brighton 18 Feb 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Danny Welbeck shots total 1+ 96% 2
Evan Ferguson shots total 1+ 93% 1
Kaoru Mitoma shots total 1+ 93% 2
Simon Adingra shots total 1+ 88% 6
Facundo Buonanotte shots total 1+ 88% 1
Pascal Groß shots total 1+ 88% 3
William Osula shots total 1+ 88% 0
Facundo Buonanotte fouls drawn 1+ 86% 1
Jakub Moder shots total 1+ 80% 2
Evan Ferguson fouls drawn 1+ 78% 0
Vinícius Souza fouls committed 1+ 76% 1
Gustavo Hamer fouls committed 1+ 76% 0
Billy Gilmour shots total 1+ 74% 2
Facundo Buonanotte fouls committed 1+ 74% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 54% 6 cards
Match goals O2.5 54% 5 goals
Btts Yes 54% No

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Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.