Premier League · 23/24
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Sheffield United v Nottingham Forest
How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Sheffield United1 – 3
Nottingham Forest
4 May 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Wood | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ben Brereton Díaz | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 4 | ✓ |
| Callum Hudson Odoi | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 4 | ✓ |
| Anthony Elanga | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Cameron Archer | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ryan Yates | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ryan Yates | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Danilo Santos | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 3 | ✓ |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ryan Yates | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gustavo Hamer | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 3 | ✓ |
| James McAtee | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oliver Arblaster | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 52% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 43% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 25% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Sheffield United & Nottingham Forest player stats→
Sheffield United players & stats→
Nottingham Forest players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.