Premier League · 24/25

Southampton v Fulham

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Southampton1 – 2 Fulham 26 Apr 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Raúl Jiménez	shots total	1+	100%	7	✓
Harry Wilson	shots total	1+	96%	1	✓
Alex Iwobi	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Willian	shots total	1+	88%	4	✓
Ross Stewart	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Ryan Sessegnon	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Adama Traoré	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Andreas Pereira	shots total	1+	83%	1	✓
Saša Lukić	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Cameron Archer	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Kamaldeen Sulemana	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Flynn Downes	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
Emile Smith Rowe	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Ryan Sessegnon	fouls committed	1+	79%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	44%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	23%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Southampton & Fulham player stats→ Southampton players & stats→ Fulham players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works