Premier League · 25/26

West Ham v Brighton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

West Ham2 – 2 Brighton 30 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Danny Welbeck	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Yasin Ayari	shots total	1+	90%	3	✓
Diego Gómez	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Yankuba Minteh	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Jarrod Bowen	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Callum Wilson	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Brajan Gruda	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Crysencio Summerville	fouls drawn	1+	85%	3	✓
Lucas Paquetá	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Joël Veltman	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Kaoru Mitoma	shots total	1+	83%	1	✓
Crysencio Summerville	shots total	1+	78%	1	✓
Soungoutou Magassa	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Mateus Fernandes	fouls drawn	1+	78%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	54%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	53%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	29%	8 cards	✓

Dig deeper

West Ham & Brighton player stats→ West Ham players & stats→ Brighton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works