Premier League · 25/26

West Ham v Burnley

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

West Ham3 – 2 Burnley 8 Nov 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Jarrod Bowen	shots total	1+	96%	3	✓
Callum Wilson	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Jacob Bruun Larsen	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Crysencio Summerville	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Tomáš Souček	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Loum Tchaouna	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Lucas Paquetá	fouls drawn	1+	86%	3	✓
Crysencio Summerville	fouls drawn	1+	85%	1	✓
Zian Flemming	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Lucas Paquetá	shots total	1+	78%	3	✓
Mateus Fernandes	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗
Freddie Potts	shots total	1+	74%	0	✗
Jaidon Anthony	shots total	1+	74%	1	✓
Jarrod Bowen	fouls drawn	1+	73%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	52%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	52%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	23%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

West Ham & Burnley player stats→ West Ham players & stats→ Burnley players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works